国家智力资本与国家创新能力的关系——基于中国20年面板数据的实证研究

The Relationship between National Intellectual Capital and National Innovation Capability——based on the 20 Years' Panel Data of China

本文运用对我国1988—2007年的智力资本水平和创新能力指数评估数据实证研究了二者之间的定量关系。采用相关分析方法研究发现国家智力资本及其三要素与国家创新能力之间存在着高度的正相关性,并且国家智力资本三要素之间存在着相互的依赖关系。采用回归分析方法研究发现国家智力资本及其三要素对国家创新能力都有正面贡献,但是贡献的大小存在较大差异。采用Granger因果分析方法研究发现国家智力资本及其三要素与国家创新能力之间是否存在Granger因果关系表现出较大的差异性。

This paper studies the quantitative relationship between national intellectual capital and national innovation capability using the index evaluating data of them in 1988-2007 of China empirically. Through the correlation analysis, it finds that there exists a high degree of positive correlation between national intellectual capital （and its three elements） and national innovation capability, and the three elements of national intellectual capital dependent each other. Through the regression analysis, it finds that national intellectual capital （and its three elements） has a positive contribution to national innovation capacity; however, there is a big difference in the size of the contribution. Through the Granger causality analysis it shows a great difference if there exists Granger causal relationship between national intellectual capital （and its three elements） and national innovation capability.