财政支持对提高农民家庭经营收入的效果——基于1991—2008年统计数据的再检验

Effects of the Financial Support on the Improvement of Farmers' Operating Income——A Re-examination Based on Statistical Data from 1991 to 2008

基于1991至2008年的统计数据,运用ADF检验、协整检验及误差修正模型,分析了财政支持对农民人均家庭经营收入的影响。结果表明,近些年国家财政支农绝对量的增加对提高农民人均家庭经营收入有一定的推动作用,但这种推动作用的长期或短期效果都还不令人满意,财政支农对农民收入影响还有很大的提高空间。因此,本文提出了调整国民收入分配格局,加大财政支农力度;建立财政对农业支持的长期稳定机制;鼓励和吸引社会资金投入等政策建议。

In this study,the effects of financial support on improving farmers＇ operating income has been analyzed,based on statistical data from 1991 to 2008 by using ADF test,cointegration test and error correction model.The results show that the increasing absolute amount of state financial support for agriculture in recent years has played a certain role in increasing per capita family income,but this role is not satisfactory in promoting long-term or short-term results.The effects of financial support for agriculture on increasing farmers＇ income are still needed to be promoted.Therefore,some recommendations are proposed,such as adjusting distribution of national income and improving financial support for agriculture;establishing long-term stability mechanisms of financial support for agriculture;encouraging and attracting social capital investment etc..