摘要
人民币升值对中国进出口贸易的影响,主要是通过价格竞争机制完成的.首先分析了人民币升值影响中国出口品价格的传导路径;然后利用计量经济模型估计了各个部门产品的进口需求函数;同时考虑到进口品对国内生产品的替代和部门间的价格传导,利用反映加工贸易的非竞争型投入产出模型分情景分析了人民币汇率上升对中国各个部门加工贸易出口品价格和一般贸易出口品价格的影响,得到了非常具有现实意义的结论.
The influence of RMB appreciation on China＇s trade is mainly through the mechanism of price competition. So this paper researches on the change of exports price caused by RMB appreciation. Firstly, we analyze the path of exchange to exports price, and estimate import demand elasticity for each sector by using econometric model. Then, we adopt input- output model, to take substitution of imports for domestic products and the pass-through of price among each sector into consideration. Finally, we analyze the influence of exchange appreciation on processed exports price and non-processed exports price by sector, and point out some interesting conclusions.
出处
《系统科学与数学》
CSCD
北大核心
2011年第2期163-174,共12页
Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences
基金
国家自然科学基金委(60874119
70810107020
70871108)资助项目
