中印出口增长方式比较——基于广度、价格与数量的分解

A Comparison between China's and India's Export Growth:Based on the Decomposition of Range,Price and Quantity

基于新新贸易理论的最新进展,利用出口增长三元分解框架和2001-2007年HS92版本六分位出口数据,研究中印出口增长的三元边际及比较,探讨中印两国出口增长方式的差异性。结论如下:中国出口产品的总量和数量高于印度,价格低于印度;中国出口产品价格和总量增长速度快于印度,数量增长速度慢于印度;中国出口产品价格随距离增加而减小,是典型的"以量取胜"模式;印度出口产品价格随距离增加而增加,是典型的"以质取胜"模式。总体来看,现阶段中印增长方式存在较大差异性,从趋势看,呈现趋同特点。

Based on the latest development of the new trade theory and making use of the three-element decomposition framework of export growth and the six-digit level export data of HS 92 version during 2001-2007,this paper studies the three-margin of export growth and comparison of the two countries and discusses the differences between the ways of export growth adopted by them.The following conclusions have been drawn： the total volume and quantity of China＇s exported products are higher than that of India＇s,and the price is lower;the growth rate of the price and total volume of China＇s export products is higher than that of India＇s,while the growth rate of quantity is lower;the price of China＇s export products is decreasing with distance,which is the typical mode of ＂win by quantity＂,while the price of India＇s export products is increasing with distance,which is the typical mode of＂win by quality＂.Generally speaking,there exist larger differences between China＇s and India＇s export growth patterns;however,it seems that a trend of convergence between the two countries appears.