摘要
态势估计是战场决策的基础,而如何进行正确的战场决策对战斗有着重要的影响。在对态势估计进行分析的基础上,根据可信度理论,提出了一种对态势估计问题进行推理的方法。该方法能够进行融合推理得到态势假设和事件之间的潜在关系,为决策提供依据。实例验证的结果表明,此方法对当前战场态势可给出有效的综合评价和理解,具有较高的可信性。
Situation assessment is the basis of battlefield decision, and how to make the right battlefield decision is crucial. Based on analysis of situation assessment and certainty factor theory, one method aimed at situation assessment is put forward. The method can find the hidden pattern of situation hypothesis and events to provide basis for making decisions. The simulation results show that the method can make sense of efficient integrated assessment and comprehension to current battlefield situation with a higher dependability
出处
《现代防御技术》
北大核心
2011年第2期79-82,共4页
Modern Defence Technology
关键词
态势估计
态势假设
可信度理论
situation estimate
situation hypothesis
certainty factor theory
