FDI对中国产业结构转型影响的实证分析——基于三大产业指标

Empirical Analysis on the Influence of FDI on Industrial Restructuring in China——based on three major industry indexes

在我国产业结构的不断升级过程中,FDI起到了重要作用。基于三大产业指标,研究FDI对我国产业结构的影响,用计量经济学方法进行单位根检验和格兰杰因果分析,得出FDI对第三产业结构偏离度影响最大,对第二产业次之,对第一产业的结构偏离几乎没有影响。但FDI在第一、二产业的发展空间仍较大,且可以带动第三产业更好的发展。为此,应在政策上引导FDI,使其有利于我国经济结构转型升级。

Since the reform and opening up,China＇s industrial structure has been escalating,in which FDI has played a very important role.Based on the three major industry indexes,this paper studies the impacts of FDI on China＇s industrial structure by econometric methods of unit root tests and Granger causality analysis from a new angle.It concludes that FDI impacts on the degree of deviation of the tertiary industry most,the second industry less,and almost none on the primary industry.But FDI has larger space to develop in the primary industry and the second industry,and can develop and promote the better development of the tertiary industry.Thus,with proper policy guidance,FDI can benefit the transition and escalation of China economic structure.