农民工“进城落户”意愿与中国近期城镇化道路的选择

Migrant Workers' Willing of Hukou Register and Policy Choice of China Urbanization

文章通过对2010年全国性调查数据的统计分析发现:(1)绝大多数农民工不愿意转变为非农户口;如果要求其交回承包地,则只有10%左右愿意转为非农户口。(2)"为了孩子的教育与升学"是少数农民工愿意转户的主要原因。(3)"想保留承包地"是大多数农民工不愿转户的主要原因。(4)在转为非农户口这一问题上,80前与80后农民工不存在显著区别。由此作者认为,推进城镇化的优选之路是"常住化城镇化"而非"户籍化城镇化";要在不强迫改变农民土地权属的前提下将农民工转变为城市新市民;应给予进城的"80前"与"80后"同等重要的政策关注。深层城镇化的政策配置重点,应是"基本公共服务与福利配置的均等化",而不是强化户籍的制度区隔功能。

Based on the analysis on a nationwide survey dataset conducted in 2010,this paper finds:(1)Most of the migrant workers don't want to change their hukou to non-agriculture type because of their wish to reserve the land;(2)The reason that a few migrant workers are willing to move their Hukou to cities is to have their children educated in the urban areas;(3)There is no significant difference between migrant workers born before and after 1980.This paper suggests that in order to accelerate urbanization,more attention should be paid to providing permanent residency rather than urban hukou to migrant workers,their land should not be forced to hand over,and their equal opportunities to enjoy cities' basic public services and social welfare should be the policy priority.