迁入地就业容量与就业风险对劳动力流动的影响——以广东省为例

The Impact of Employment Capacity and Employment Risk in the Receiving Areas of Migrant Labor

文章运用2001～2008年广东省的面板数据,考察就业容量和就业风险对劳动力流动的影响,发现迁入地经济发展创造的就业容量足够大时,劳动者为追求就业机会选择迁移就业;而迁入地的就业风险又会减少地区的吸引力,对劳动力流入有负作用。要实现劳动力平衡流动和平稳就业,就必须平衡发展地区经济以扩大总体就业容量、提供均等化公共服务和统筹社会保障以减少就业风险,减轻失业成本。

With the perspective of receiving areas of migration,this paper chooses employment capacity and employment risk as key variables to construct labor flow model,and use 2001-2008 panel data of Guangdong province to conduct an empirical analysis.We find that the local employment capacity is attractive to migrant labors,while local employment risk reduces the local attractiveness.To realize labor flow balance and steady employment,balanced development of regional economy,opened public services and equal social security are necessary to reduce the risk of employment and alleviate unemployment cost.