水利水电工程项目质量控制系统灰色摆动模型

Grey Swinging Model of Quality Control System for Water and Electricity Projects

通过分析水利水电工程项目质量及工程质量控制的特点，指出统计方法的局限性．建立了水利水电工程项目质量控制系统灰色摆动模型，介绍了建模步骤、模型参数求解方法及模型验证结果等，分析了质量控制系统运行机制的稳定性，预测了质量控制系统的未来状态．利用灰色摆动模型能提高工程项目质量控制的效果，同时模型对费用、进度的控制具有参考价值．

Through analysis of the characteristics of quality and quality control of water and electricity projects, limitations of statistical methods are pointed out. A grey swinging model of quality control system is established, and the steps to establish the model, parameter solution, and model verification are expounded in detail. Finall, the stability of the quality control system is analysed. Project quality control can be improved with the grey swinging model. At the same time, the grey swinging model is of reference value to cost and schedule control.