谈处置恐怖劫持人质事件中指挥员的应急决策

On the Emergency Decision-making by Commanders in Disposing Terrorist Hostage-taking Incident

"人质事件"的应急处置策略、过程和结果,不仅关系着人质的安全与利益,也直接影响到政府的反恐政策及立场、能力与施政水平,关系到政府在民众心目中的权威、地位和形象。处置恐怖劫持人质事件中现场指挥员面临着巨大的压力和挑战。能否采取武力强攻以及何时采取武力强攻,是指挥员运筹决策的关键点,权衡利弊、对比分析,按照"两害相权取其轻、两利相权取其重"的原则,进行量化评估,寻求最佳方案。

The emergency management strategies to hostages,their processes and outcomes,are not only closely connected with the security and interests of the hostages,but they also directly affect the Government＇s anti-terrorism policies and positions,the capacity and governance quality,and the governmental status and image in the eyes of the public.The disposal of terrorist hostage incident puts the great pressure and challenges on commanders.Can the use of force and when to resort to force is the key commanders operational decision-making based on the principle of a contrast analysis and quantitative assessment to find the best solution.