观众出行分布预测在武警临时勤务中的应用研究

The Study on the Forecast of Special Events Spectators in CAPF＇s Temporary Duty

大型活动的性质、规模、级别、观众数量、周边的道路交通状况以及治安情况等因素，都影响着大型活动举行期间的道路交通和安全保卫任务。通过对大型活动观众出行分布预测方法的研究，结合实例得到大型活动观众出行分布情况，同时分析其对武警部队部署执勤警力的影响，为安保工作提供预案决策支持。

Factors such as the property, scale, level, the number of the spectators, traffic condition and public security, etc. affect the road traffic and the security mission during the special events. According to the prediction method to spectators, combining with an example, the distributing circumstances and the influence on the CAPF＇s temporary duty are obtained. It provides the decision-making support for the security mission.