中国男性公民使用共用剃刀与感染乙肝、丙肝及艾滋病毒关系模型的建立及应用

Transmission of hepatitis B,hepatitis C and human immunodeficiency viruses through Share of razors in Chinese male citizens:model-based regional estimates

目的:对使用共用剃刀造成男性公民感染经血传播疾病的情况进行定量分析。方法:通过建立线性模型根据中国公民男性人口数、乙肝,丙肝及艾滋病的流行率、使用共用剃刀的频率等因素,计算每年可能导致感染经血传播疾病的人数。结果:计算结果显示,每年由于使用共用剃刀可能造成中国男性公民乙肝、丙肝及艾滋病感染的人数在132093-184923、9458-18916及1-2之间。结论:使用共用剃刀能够造成相当程度的经血传播疾病的传播。

Objective：A simple mass-action model was used to evaluate the relationship of razor shared and bloodborne pathogens among males in China.Methods：A simple mass-action model was used consisting of a generalized linear equation with variables accounting for the prevalence of a pathogen in a population,susceptibility of a population transmission efficiency of the pathogen,proportion of Share of razors,and the number of Share of razors.Results：The model suggests that approximately 132093-184923 HBV,9458-18916million HCV and 1-2 HIV infections may result every year from Share of razors in Chinese male citizens.Conclusion：Share of razors can lead to the spread of blood-borne diseases to a certain extent