基于GM(1,1)模型的黄河花园口站的径流量预测

Prediction on Runoff of Yellow River Huayuankou Station Based on GM(1,1) Model

通过对研究区年均径流量资料进行分析,根据径流量和时间的关系,建立GM(1,1)模型,并将其应用于年径流量的预测,为相关部门的决策提供参考依据。

Through analyzing annual average runoff data,moreover,based on the relationship between runoff and time,GM（1,1） model is established.And then GM（1,1） model is applied to forecast average annual runoff,which provides references for decision-making of relevant departments.