中国经济开放度与经济增长关系的实证分析

An Empirical Research on the Relationship of China's Economic Openness and Economic Growth

改革开放以来,中国对外贸易迅速发展,吸收FDI以及对外直接投资规模不断扩大,国民经济长期保持高速增长。通过贸易开放度和投资开放度两个指标测算中国的经济开放度,并在此基础上运用VAR模型和冲击反应模型对中国经济开放度与经济增长之间的关系进行经验检验。结果表明,贸易开放度和投资开放度对中国经济增长的作用存在较大的差异。进一步的动态研究发现,在不同的发展阶段,经济开放度对中国经济增长的冲击作用也存在较大的差异。

Over the past 30 years, China＇s reform and opening-up strategy has made great achievements. Foreign trade has developed rapidly, FDI inflow and outflow have expanded quickly, and economy has grown speedily. This paper calculates China＇s economic openness by the indexes of trade openness and investment openness. On the basis, this paper studies the relationship between China＇s economic openness and economic growth basis on VAR model. The empirical research shows that the effects are different between trade openness on economic growth and investment openness on economic growth. The further dynamic study reflects that the effects of economic openness on economic growth are different at different stage.