经济增长、环境质量与产业结构的关系研究——以陕西为例

Study of Relationship in Economic Growth,Environmental Quality and Industrial Structure in Shaanxi

基于环境库兹涅茨曲线框架,使用2000～2007年陕西省10个地区面板数据,考察陕西省经济增长、环境污染及产业结构之间的关系。研究发现,自西部大开发以来,随着陕西省经济不断增长部分工业污染物排放量出现先下降、再回升的变化趋势,在经济发展水平较低的地区工业污染物排放总量和增量较少,在经济增长水平中等的地区工业污染水平在快速上升,只有经济增长达到较高水平时工业污染物的排放量才会开始下降;同时,全省支柱产业大多数为高污染行业,第二产业迅速发展,第三产业却增长缓慢。因此,陕西省具有高污染特征的产业结构是环境质量恶化的主要原因,而向环境友好型产业结构调整是陕西改善环境质量的主要突破口。

This paper,based on the framework of environmental Kuznets curve,study the relationship of economic growth,environmental pollution and industrial Structure,using panel data model from 2000 to 2007 of the ten regions in Shaanxi.The study found： since development of the western region starting,with the continued economic growth in Shaanxi,the trends of industrial pollution levels will be decreased,then pick up.The industrial pollutants and their increments are small in the areas of lower economic development.They are fast-rising in the areas of middle economic growth.Only a higher level of economic growth,their emissions will begin to decline.The secondary industry rapid developed in Shaanxi,while tertiary industry has developed slowly,and most pillar industries are high-polluting.As a result,a high-pollution feature of the industrial structure in Shaanxi is the main reason for the deterioration of environmental quality.Industrial restructuring toward environment-friendly is major breakthrough to improve the environmental quality in Shaanxi.