基于灰色关联理论的资源型城市产业分析

Industry analysis of resource-dependent city based on grey relational theory: Shandong Dongying city

作为支柱产业,石油产业在推动地方经济增长的同时,也带来了一系列的问题:工业经济发展高位;产业间关联程度不高;产业结构序次低,产业序列不清晰。在灰色关联理论框架下对地方经济增长与三次产业间关联度及三次产业内部关联度进行分析,结果表明,第二产业与国内生产总值的关联度最大,其中石油产业尤为显著,而第一产业尤其是第三产业与国内生产总值的关联度较小,对经济发展的带动力不强。要进一步推进产业结构优化升级,形成以高效生态农业为基础、环境友好型工业为主体、现代服务业为支撑的第一二三产业协调、高效发展的布局。

As the pillar industry ,when oil industry promotes economic development in Dongying, it also brings a series of problems ： higher level of industrial economic development, lower correlation coefficient of inter - industry, low and unclear industry sequence . In the framework of Grey Correlation Theory, the correlation degree between the Economic Growth of Dongying with the three industries and even three intra - industry were analyzed , results showed that the secondary indus is particularly significant; while the degree try highly linked to GDP, where the correlation degree of the oil industry of correlation is lower between the first industry, especially the third industry with GDP, which shows that the driving force of economic development is not strong. Therefore, in order to further optimize and upgrade industrial structure, it is necessary to form the basis of efficient ecological agriculture and to make environment- friendly industries as the mainstay and to facilitate modem service industry as the support of sustainable and efficient industrial developmental layout.