摘要
通过生态足迹模型的计算模型,以山东半岛为例进行计算与分析,计算山东半岛区域2004年的生态承载力、生态足迹及生态赤字,分析山东半岛区域生态足迹和生态承载力从2000年至2008年的动态变化情况,并利用灰色预测方法对山东半岛区域生态赤字进行预测和分析。最后,从发展循环经济与低碳经济、推广高效生态农业、建立资源节约型的消费体系等方面入手提出了减小山东半岛区域发展生态赤字的措施。
The article thronging the computation model of ecological footprint,it is unifies Shandong Peninsula region as an example to calculate and analysis,and calculation of the Shandong Peninsula region in 2004,the ecological carrying capacity,ecological footprint and ecological deficit,anglicizing the ecological footprint and ecological carrying capacity of Shandong Peninsula region dynamic changing from 2000 to 2008,and use of gray prediction method to prediction and analysis of ecological deficit of Shandong Peninsula region.Finally it＇s should implementation from the development of circular economy,promoting ecological agriculture,the establishment of a resource-saving consumption of system and other four-pronged approach to improve the Shandong Peninsula and regional ecological deficit measures.
出处
《生态经济》
北大核心
2011年第5期95-99,共5页
Ecological Economy
基金
水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项资助"南水北调东线南四湖水质综合改善方案及支撑技术与示范"(2009ZX07210-007)子课题"基于输水水质保障的南四湖流域生态经济模式及产业结构优化研究与示范"阶段性成果
关键词
生态足迹模型
区域经济
可持续发展
灰色预测模型
ecological footprint model
regional economy
sustainable development
gray forecast model
