国际货币体系的发展方向与人民币国际化

2007年一场次贷危机席卷整个美国，并在2008年9月演变为全球性金融危机。经济领域普遍认为国际货币体系的内在缺陷是导致金融危机产生的根源。因此，对国际货币体系的改革成为必然。本文将提出金融危机后国际货币体系未来演化路径的构想，并分析该演进路径形成的机理和原因一一短期内，美元单一货币霸权仍将一定程度的延续；中期内，国际赁币体系将走向多元化；而在长期，超主权国家货币将成为国际货币体系的演进方向。最后，据此提出我国的应对建议，即通过对外寻求亚洲货币合作、实质性参与中国东盟区域外汇储备库的建设，对内发展国内经济、降低对外依存度，满足成为国际货币的两大条件，从而推动人民币国际化。

In 2007 a sub--prime mortgage crisis swept across the United States, and in September 2008 into a global financial crisis. Economy generally agreed that the inherent weaknesses of the international monetary system, leading to the root causes of the financial crisis. Therefore, the reform of the international monetary system became inevitable. This paper will present international monetary system after the financial crisis the idea of ？？the future evolution of the path, and analyzes the formation mechanism of the evolution path and causes -- the short term, the dollar hegemony of a single currency will remain a degree of continuity; the medium term, the international monetary system will move toward multiple of; and in the long term, over the sovereignty of national currencies will be the direction of the evolution of the international monetary system. Finally, China＇s response to recommendations made accordingly, that is seeking an Asian monetary cooperation through external, substantive participation in the China-ASEAN regional foreign exchange reserves pool, internal development of the domestic economy, reduce dependence on foreign, to meet two conditions to become an international currency, thus promoting the internationalization of the RMB.