摘要
为了定量化研究城市化水平与农民增收的关系,本文采用1978-2008年度时间序列数据,利用Eviews3.0软件对其进行单位根检验、协整分析和格兰杰因果检验,实证研究了城市化水平与农民增收之间的关系。结果表明:我国城市化水平与农民增收之间存单向的因果关系,城镇化是引起农民收入增加的重要原因,城市化水平每提高一个单位,农村人均净收入就增加156个单位。在此基础上,提出了解决我国"三农"问题的政策理念。
In order to quantify the level of urbanization of the relationship between peasants＇ income,this paper conducts on the unit root test,co-integration analysis and granger causality test by using the 1978-2008 annual time series data and Eviews3.0 software,which empirically studies the relationship of the urbanization and farmers＇ income.The result shows that： the level of urbanization and farmers＇ income exists the causal relationship.Urbanization is the cause of the important reasons to increase the income of farmers.The level of urbanization increased by one unit each,the rural per capital net income will increase 156 units.Based on this conclusion,we put forward a solution of the ＂agriculture ＂issue in the policy concept.
出处
《科技和产业》
2011年第4期108-110,117,共4页
Science Technology and Industry
关键词
城镇化
农民增收
协整分析
urbanization
peasants＇ income
co-integration
