新疆产业能源消费与经济增长的关系研究

On Relationship between Industry Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Xinjiang

随着新疆经济的增长,三次产业的能源消费也呈现出不同的发展态势。本文运用协整理论和Granger因果关系检验,采用1990年-2008年的统计数据,实证研究了新疆三次产业能源消费与经济增长的协整关系和Granger因果关系,并建立VAR模型,运用脉冲响应函数对新疆能源消费和经济增长之间的相互关系进行动态分析,进而在研究基础上提出合理化对策建议。

Along with the economy＇s growth in Xinjiang,three industry energy consumptions also show different development trends.In this paper,the co-integration theory and the Granger causality tests are employed to verify the co-integration relationship and Granger causality between three industry energy consumptions and the economic growth based on the statistical data from 1990 to 2008.The VAR model is established and a dynamic analysis of relationship between industry energy consumptions and the economic growth by using impulse response function.Based on this,rational countermeasures and the suggestions are proposed.