中国经济适度发展速度分析

On The Appropriate Speed For China's Economic Growth

本文借助计算机对几十万宏观经济数据四千多机时的分析处理,提炼出具有普遍规律性的重要信息。1.定理1:“经济运行中客观上存在五种经济状态,即过热,热、适度、冷及过冷,适度为最佳状态”。同时确定了中国经济五种状态。2.定理2:“经济稳定运行于适度区时,其经济效益为最佳;经济效益随着经济运行偏热、过热和冷而降低;经济运行于过冷区,其经济效益最差”3.定理3:“经济稳定,则经济高效;否则经济低效”。4.确定出中国经济适度发展速度、五种经济状态间经济转换速度、轻重工业适度比例及宏观控制的适度界限。5.确定出货币超经济发行累计数量,分析了经济不稳定的主要症结,提出了根治通货膨胀和经济不稳定的一系列对策。

The authors arrive at the following universally important conclusions,theoutcoma of 4,000-odd hours of computerized analyses of several hundred thousanddate in the field of macro-economy.1.Theorem Ⅰ:“There are five states in economic operations,namely,econo-mic overheating,heating,moderate degree,cooling and overcooling.Moderate de-gree is the optimum state”.At the same time,the authors define the five economic states in China's eco-nomic activities.2.Theorem Ⅱ:“Steady economic operation with moderate degree produces thebest economic results;the economic results decline as the economy becomes heated,overheated or cooled,and drop to the bottom in the cooled state”.3.Theorem Ⅲ:“Economic efficiency grows out of economic stability.” 4.The authors define the moderate speed for China's economic growth,thespeed of transformation among the five economic states,the proper ratio betweonlight and heavy industries,and the appropriate limits for macro-economic control,5.The authors propose measures for g inflations and economic instabi-lity by working out the accumulative amount excessive currency issurance and ana-lysing the principal causes of economic of instability.