以谈促变:克林顿政府对朝政策回顾与评估

Policy of Facilitating Change of North Korea by Talks of Clinton's Administration: Retrospect and Evaluation

克林顿政府在处理朝鲜核与导弹问题上采取了接触包容、以谈促变的政策,其对朝政策实施效果可谓得失参半。虽然暂时冻结了朝鲜的核与导弹发展、初步改善了几度紧张的美朝关系,但是,由于对朝战略判断失准、国内政治因素牵制,不仅没有根本解决朝鲜的核与导弹问题,美朝关系正常化也未能实现。总体而言,克林顿政府对朝政策只是取得了可以逆转的有限成功。不过,这些成功经验却值得奥巴马殷鉴。

Clinton＇s administration adopted a magnanimous policy that it wanted to facilitate the change of North Korea＇s attitude on nuclear and missile issues by talks.It is a policy of half gained but half lost.By such a policy,though the nuclear and missile development of North Korea was temporarily frozen and the extremely tense U.S-DPRK relationship was preliminarily meliorated,this issue was not completely solved and the normalization of the relationship was not achieved for the failure of the U.S in judging the DPRK-toward strategy and the restraint of its domestic political factors.Overall,the DPRK policy of Clinton＇s administration had gained just a limited and reversible success.Nevertheless,its experience is worthy to refer by Obama.