河北省科技经济灰色系统分析

The Analysis about the Grey System of Hebei' S&T and Economy

基于河北省科技经济的历史数据，构造了灰色动态模型和友关联模型，对河北省科技和经济的发展态势进行了动态分析和预测；对科技与经济发展的关系进行了灰色关联评估．本文认为，河北省技术市场交易额与国内生产总值关联性最强，两者同步增长，表明技术市场的发展对经济发展具有较强的促动作用，而科技成果数与国内生产总值的关联性较弱，两者的发展趋势呈反向特性，表明科技成果的开发动力不足和科技成果推广应用的乏力．

Basing on the historical data about Hebei' S&T and economy, this paper builds a grey dynamic model and a grey connection model, and makes a dynamic analysis and forecast about the develop trend of Hebei' S&T and economy. It also makes a grey connection assessment of the relation between S&T and economy development. The connection is strongest between volume of technology market trade and GDP at Hebei province. They grow in the same step, which indicates that the development of technology market can promote greatly economy development. The connection, however, is weaker between volume of achievement in S & T and GDP. Their development trend is contrary, which indicates that the ability of development is not enough and the ability of spread and application is weak in S&T.