摘要
根据世界贸易组织(WTO)秘书处最近公布的世界贸易报告概要,世界贸易在经历了2009年高达12.2%的实际降幅(为70多年来最大之降幅)之后,却迎来了2010年高达14.5%的恢复性实际增长,又一举创下多边贸易体制自1950年开始贸易统计以来的最大增幅。对于2011年的世界贸易,WTO预测其增长将放慢至温和但更正常的6.5%,但由于世界金融危机和经济衰退的影响余孽未消,加上近期中东和北非等世界重要石油产区的动荡局势以及东日本大地震的影响,其增长前景尚有诸多不确定性,因此,如总干事拉米所言,"维稳"应成为今年的关键词。2010年,中国依然保持世界商品出口第一和进口第二的位置,并在世界商业服务的进出口中的地位均又有所上升。
Following the 12% slump in the volume of global trade in 2009 which was a largest such decline in more than 70 years, world trade has sawn a record-breaking 14.5% surge in 2010, according to a WTO press release about World Trade Report 2010 issued recently. The 14.5% rise was the largest annual figure in the present data series which began in 1950, and enabled world trade to recover to its pre-crisis 2008 peak level but not its long-term trend. For 2011, the WTO economists are forecasting a more modest 6.5% increase for world merchandise exports. However, the hangover from financial crisis and global recession persists and especially, recent events in the Middle East and Japan have raised the level of uncertainty to global trade and economy. So, ＂stability＂ should be the name of the game for 2011, just as WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy said. Worthily mentioned, China maintained the world＇s largest exporter and the second largest importer of merchandise trade in 2010, and also moved up the rankings both on the import side and on the export side of commercial services.
