气候预测探索路上的4+1级台阶

THE 4+1 STEPS ON THE SEARCHING ROUTE OF CLIMATE PREDICT

简要介绍了本所创立的短期气候预测的“地气图方法”３６ 年来所走过的道路。它已经跨越了四级台阶：选定地温作为主要因子、坚持实际预测、转向“地心说”和创建“地气图方法”。还剩最后一级台阶———建立短期气候预测的“地球动力学方法”，有待不畏艰险。

A brief introduce to the pioneering route of “Dichi map method” for short range climate prediction during the past 36 years. There are 4 steps have been passed; (1) Lock on the soil temperature as a major factor;(2) Persist in practical prediction since 1975; (3) Turn to geocentric thesis from the “air centric thesis” (4) Create the Dichi map method, which seems to the “weather map method” for short range weather forecasting on 1920s. It remains a final step:Establish the “Earth dynamic method” for short range climate prediction is facing to the brave climatologist.