摘要
利用HP滤波法测定1970~2010年间我国天然橡胶产量波动的周期,分析波动的周期性特征和成因,并分阶段研究了开割面积、单产波动与产量波动的关系,揭示了我国天然橡胶生产的波动规律。
The cyclic fluctuations of natural rubber production from 1970 to 2010 in China were calculated by means of HP filter.The characteristics and causes of cyclic fluctuations and relationships between production fluctuations and tapping area as well as yield fluctuations were also analyzed.The fluctuation rules of natural rubber production in China were revealed.
出处
《热带农业科学》
2011年第3期42-46,共5页
Chinese Journal of Tropical Agriculture
基金
农业部热作农技推广与体系建设项目(10RZNY-46)
中国热带农业科学院橡胶研究所基本科研业务费专项资金项目[YWFZX2010-02(N)]
关键词
天然橡胶
产量波动
HP滤波
natural rubber
production fluctuation
HP filter