城镇化水平与农民增收:基于陕西数据的分析

Development of Urbanization and Income Growth of Rural Residents Based on Time Series Data of Shaanxi Province

国内众多研究表明加快推进城镇化步伐对农民收入意义重大。在分析陕西城镇化水平与农民增收现状的基础上,根据陕西1978-2008年的时间时序列数据,运用计量经济学中的相关方法,本文实证研究了陕西城镇化发展与农民增长之间的关系。研究结论表明,在一定滞后期数上,陕西城镇化水平促进了农民收入的增长,同时陕西农民收入的增长有助于城镇化的推进,两者具有双向因果关系。

Numerous studies have shown that accelerating the pace of urbanization has great significance on farmers′ income.Based on the analysis of the status of Shaanxi Province urbanization level and farmers′ income,according to1978-2008 time-series data,and using econometric methods,the paper empirically studies the relationships between development of urbanization and the farmers′ income growth.This study concludes that in a certain lag phases,the level of urbanization in Shaanxi Province has promoted the growth of income of the farmers,while the growth of income of the farmers in Shaanxi will help the advancement of urbanization.