服务贸易与货物贸易影响因素差异化分析——基于我国1982—2009年数据

Differential Analysis of Influence Factors on Trade in Services and Goods——Based on China's Data of 1982—2009

中国服务贸易一直存在较大的贸易逆差,与中国货物贸易的发展趋势相反,中国对外贸易发展结构不均衡。国内三次产业的发展、技术投入、人力资本改善以及人民币实际有效汇率对服务贸易和货物贸易发展有不同的影响。

There has been a comparatively large adverse balance in China＇s service trade for a long time, which is opposite to the development trend of goods trade, and reveals a structural imbalance of China＇s foreign trade development. The domestie tertiary industry, technological input, human capital improvement and real effective exchange rate have their different impact on trade in services and goods.