后危机时代的通胀预期及其对产业升级和就业的影响

Inflation expection and its influence on industry upgrading and employment in late crisis time

为刺激经济增长政府的宽松货币政策引致各商业银行在经济危机前期投放了天量信贷。由于中国经济增长的结构性矛盾,虽然天量信贷没有立即导致通货膨胀,但随着中国经济的进一步复苏和繁荣,由于中国经济增长的诸多固有特性,天量信贷在后危机时代可能会带来严重的通货膨胀预期。而通货膨胀预期会通过诸多传导机制影响到自愿性就业,形成新的就业压力。

In order to stimulate the economy growth,the central bank＇s relaxed currency policy has induced the commercial banks＇ enormous credits,which may cause the inflation in the post-crisis era by the Chinese economic structural contradictory.As we known,when the inflation comes into being,it will bring into the non-voluntary un-employments,the employment pressure and difficulties in industry upgrading through kinds of mechanism.