中国经济低碳发展的影响因素及其对碳减排的作用

Determinants of Low-carbon Development of China's Economy and Their Functions to Carbon Emission Reduction

经济低碳发展是在全球变暖背景下中国实现可持续发展的必由之路。推动中国经济低碳发展会受到诸多因素的影响,本文分析和评价了经济发展、人口增长、城镇化、工业化、能源结构调整、居民消费模式变化、能源技术进步和能源价格上涨8个因素对中国经济低碳发展的影响。最后得出结论认为,中国可以通过调整能源结构、引导居民消费模式变化、促进能源技术进步、提高能源价格等政策来推动经济低碳发展。

Low carbon development of economy is the only way for China to achieve sustainable development in the context of global warming. It will be affected by many factors to promote low carbon development of Chinese economy. This paper ana- lyzes and evaluates the effects of eight factors, which are economic development, population growth, urbanization, industrialization, energy restructuring, change in consumption patterns, energy technological progress and rising of energy prices. It all points to the conclusion that China can promote low carbon development of economy by adjusting energy mix, guiding people to change consumption patterns, promoting energy technology advancement, improving energy price and so on.