摘要
1996年以来,中国废纸进口总量屡创新高,2009年已达到2750万t,比上年同期增长13.59%,占该年度纸浆总消耗的27.57%,生产的纸产品占国内需求总量的1/3左右,说明中国造纸行业对进口废纸原料依赖严重。若不对原料来源进行适当调整,势必会影响中国造纸业未来的发展。文章以1996～2009年中国造纸工业相关数据为基础,通过建立多元线性回归模型,分析了对废纸进口贸易产生影响的主要因素,并由此为政府、企业等制定相应缓解废纸进口的政策建议提供参考依据。
Since 1996,China has notched up record imports of waste paper.In 2009,the volume of imports has reached the highest points at 27.5 million tons,soaring 13.59% compared with last year,which accounts for 27.57% in the consumption of total paper pulp that year.Besides,the paper products have met even one-third domestic demand by using these quantities of waste materials.As mentioned above,Chinese papermaking industry has relied heavily on imported waste paper.If not many reasonable measures are taken to adjust the sources of raw materials,large volume of waste paper will certainly affect the future development of Chinese papermaking industry.So,on the basis of 1996~2009 paper-related data in China,this essay analyses various influencing factors on Chinese waste paper trade through the establishment of multiple linear regression model and thus providing the basis of appropriate measures resolving industry＇s severe dependence on imported waste paper.
出处
《林业经济》
北大核心
2011年第4期79-84,共6页
Forestry Economics
关键词
进口废纸
影响因素
政策建议
imported waste paper
influencing factors
appropriate measures
