江西区域物流能力与产业经济的灰色控制系统研究

Analysis on Grey Control System of Regional Logistics Capability and Industrial Economy in Jiangxi Province

文章应用灰色系统建模方法,选取区域物流能力的3个关键要素作为控制表变量,区域经济三个产业的GDP产值为状态变量,建立物流能力与产业经济的灰色控制系统,并以江西省的数据进行实证分析,通过提高区域物流能力来实现区域经济的增长。研究表明:江西省目前正处于工业化前中期,区域物流能力对第二产业发展支持最大;区域物流能力的增强能加快第二产业和第三产业的快速发展,实现产业结构优化和升级。

By using the gray system modeling method, this paper selected three key elements of the regional logistics capability as control variables and three industrial GDP from regional economy as the state variables. Then it established gray system of the logistics capability and industrial economy, and analyzed empirically how to improve regional logistics capability so as to promote the regional economy growth based on the data from Jiangxi Province. The results showed that Jiangxi Province was in pre - mid - industrial term, regional logistics capability＇s support to second industry was largest. Beside, it pointed out that regional logistics capability can speed up the development of second industry and tertiary industry, which can optimize and upgrade the industrial structure.