我国货币流通速度的变化趋势及原因分析

Analysis of Changing Tendency and Cause of Monetary Velocity

本文通过统计各项数据,得出1985-2010年的货币流通速度,通过数据分析,总结出我国货币流通速度的基本变化趋势:从长期来看,中国的货币流通速度处于不断下降的趋势,并且下降速度有趋缓的态势,但是在2009年,货币流通速度又出现一个幅度较大的下降。随后本文将从经济货币化、利率、产业结构、地区发展差异四个方面着重分析我国货币流通速度下降的原因,并从金融现代化角度分析货币流速下降幅度趋缓的原因,最后从经济危机导致的GDP下降和居民预防需求增加两个方面解释2009年货币流速大幅下降的原因。

The thesis figures out the monetary velocity from 1985 till now through analyzing research data, and concludes that our national monetary velocity is declining continuously and slowly, which be comes the basic changing tendency. The analysis of declining monetary velocity is approached in four ways, such as economic monetization, interest rate and so on. It also analyzes the cause of slow declina tion df monetary velocity from the perspective of financial, modernization and proposes an assumption on how to solve it.