我国提前跨入后工业社会就业形态的可行性研判

Study on the Feasibility of China's Employment Pattern Advancing into the Post-industrial Society

中外历史比较与实证分析表明,我国在尚未全面完成工业化进程的情况下,具有从就业形态上提前跨入后工业社会,并依此彻底解决当前就业难题的可行性。支持这一可行性研判的主要结论:一是我国以金融、保险、房地产和商务服务部门为主的新兴生产服务业,以及社会个人服务业存在着巨大的就业拓展空间,这将为我国第三产业就业量的高速增长提供现实可行性;二是制造业迂回生产所衍生的众多服务性就业岗位的涌现,将为第三产业新增就业量的高速增长提供现实可行性;三是随着我国工业化的加速推进,农村劳动力向第三产业就业的加速转移及其所呈现的结构调整态势,将为我国农业就业比重持续下降,以及第三产业就业比重扩张提供现实基础。

In the light of the comparison of Chinese and foreign history, this paper uses both empirical and normative analysis methods to demonstrate that China＇ s employment pattern has advanced into the post - industrial society while China has not yet fully completed its industrialization process. The purposes of this article is to solve Chinas current unemployment problem. The main basis for these views are： first of all, There exist huge scope for employment in emerging production - based services such as finanee, insurance, real estate and other individual services, which would provide practical feasibility for the employment of the rapid growth of tertiary industry. Secondly, Roundabout produetion in manufacturing industry would ereate a number of indirect service jobs, which will provide practical feasibility for the employment of the rapid growth of tertiary industry. Thirdly, With the acceleration of China＇ s industrialization, the transferring of rural labor force to the tertiary industry quickens, which enhance the changes in the employment structure of rural migrants. As a result, the proportion of agricultural employment in China will continue to decline, which will provide practical feasibility for the employment of the rapid growth of tertiary industry.