中国影响就业因素的区域差异分析——基于省级面板数据的实证检验

An Analysis of Regional Differences of Factors Affecting China's Employment:An Empirical Test Based on Provincial Panel Data

新型工业化战略下,中国东、中、西部就业增长的影响因素存在明显的区域差异。经济增长要素对就业增长的拉动作用在西部较明显,东、中部并不明显;出口比率要素在东部和西部能显著影响就业;如果东、中部经济发展过程中过多依靠总投资拉动,会对本地就业增长产生不利影响,未来需要更多通过扩大总消费水平来促进经济增长;东、中部的物质资本积累能显著促进就业增长,而西部地区并不显著;东部地区的政府规模扩大对于该区域就业增长有很大促进作用;三个区域中人力资本的溢出效应对就业增长都不明显,城镇化的内生就业创造功能在各区域也没有得到很好发挥。

Under the strategy of the new-type industrialization,there exist significant regional differences in the factors affecting the employment in China＇s three regions of the East,the Middle and the West.The stimulating function of the economic growth factor on the employment growth is obvious in the West,but not in the East and the Centre areas;the factor of export ratio can significantly affect employment in the East and West;if the economical development in the East and the Central relays too much on the total investment,negative effects will be produced on the local employment,the future economical development has to be stipulated by further expanding of the total consumption;the accumulation of physical capital can significantly promote employment growth in the East and the Centre,while not in the western region;the expansion of the government scale in the East plays a great role in promoting the local employment growth;the Spillover effect of human capital is not obvious on the employment growth in the three regions,and endogenous job creation function of urbanization has not been given a good play in these regions.