新疆气候变化研究进展

New Progress of the Study on Climate Change in Xinjiang

通过对1990年以来新疆气候变化研究的国内外文献资料的归纳总结,将新疆气候变化事实、影响、应对措施及预测等方面的最新研究进展进行了概括。结果表明:整体上,新疆的气候正在向暖湿化方向转变,这一变化事实导致了该区域水热的重新配置,对水资源和农业等都产生了较大的影响。

Global warming has attracted much more attention all over the world.In this paper,the new progress of the studies on climate change in Xinjiang since the 1990s is reviewed from the aspects of fact,impact,countermeasure and prediction of climate change.The results are as follows：（1） Holistically,both temperature and precipitation in Xinjiang have been increased,and climate in Xinjiang has trended towards warming-wetting type since recent 50 years;（2） Such climate change results in a redistribution of water and heat resources in Xinjiang and brings about a tremendous effect on water resources,ecological environment,agriculture,etc.;（3） The ecosystem vulnerability assessment is a quantitative evaluation on ecological environment.The studies on it,however,are so insufficient and need to be further explored.Moreover,there is a big uncertainty of predicting climate change,and all the models of predicting climate change are need to be improved so as to increase the prediction accuracy.