定量态势分析法分析我国基因检测服务发展影响因素的研究

Factors affecting the development of genetic testing service by using quantitative SWOT analysis

目的研究我国以基因组技术为基础的基因检测服务发展影响因素及发展策略。方法通过目的抽样的方法选择基因组学和基因检测领域相关专家，对11名专家进行深入访谈并设计问卷，通过调查问卷获取25名专家的数据信息，态势分析法、层次分析法、内部因素评价矩阵和外部因素评价矩阵相结合的定量态势分析法进行数据分析，随机一致性比率（CR）检验逻辑一致性（CR〈10％）。结果共确定15项关键影响因素，其中重要性排在前三位的分别是法律与市场规范缺失、国家已出台政策扶持和缺少知识产权保护，权重分别为0．099、0．091和0．087，国内基因检测服务发展处于战略态势图的第三象限。结论国内基因检测服务发展宜采取防御性战略，回避外部威胁，克服自身缺点，降低基因检测所带来的风险。

Objective To analyze the factors affecting the development of genome technology-based genetic testing services. Methods Purposive sampling was used to select experts in the field of genome or genetic testing. Following interview with 11 experts, data was obtained from 25 individuals and analyzed by using quantitative SWOT analysis, including the concept of SWOT method, Analytic Hierarchy Process, Internal Factor Evaluation （ IFE ） Matrix, and External Factor Evaluation （ EFE ） Matrix. Consistent ratio （CR） was chosen to test the logic. Results Of the 15 critical affecting factors, the weighting coefficient of deficiency of laws and market regulations, state supporting policies, and lack of intellectual property protection was 0. 099,0. 091 and 0. 087 ,respectively. The development of genetic testing services was found in the third quadrant of SWOT analysis. Conclusion These findings suggest that defensive strategy should be taken to improve genetic testing services and to reduce the risk of genetic testing.