摘要
A method is introduced in this paper to study the effect of future climatic change on the economy.The researchers determine the economic output of climate change from historical data,and provide a method to quantitatively predict economic output of climate change by an economic-climatic model.A historical reciprocating examination is used to analyze output data for various crops in eight agricultural areas in China and meteorological data from 160 observatories in China from 1980 to 2000.The results show that the methods used are reasonable to a certain extent and good in application.
A method is introduced in this paper to study the effect of future climatic change on the economy. The researchers determine the economic output of climate change from historical data, and provide a method to quantitatively predict economic output of climate change by an economic-climatic model. A historical reciprocating examination is used to analyze output data for various crops in eight agricultural areas in China and meteorological data from 160 observatories in China from 1980 to 2000. The results show that the methods used are reasonable to a certain extent and good in application.
基金
supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (2010CB950504)
the National High-Tech Research & Development Program of China (2010AA12305)
