产业内贸易、产业结构差异与中美贸易摩擦——与中日贸易摩擦的比较分析

Intra-industry Trade,Differences in Industrial Structure and Sino-US Trade Conflicts

本文通过对1995～2009年间中关、中日制造业产业内贸易进行统计上的比较，结合中关、中日贸易摩擦的状况，进一步证实产业内贸易水平与贸易摩擦之间的反向关系。产业结构的差异对中美、中日制造业产业内贸易发展有较大的影响，实证结果表明，人均消费差异、产业规模差异以及经济外向度差异与两者产业内贸易呈负相关，而对华FDI与两者产业内贸易呈正相关，但影响的强弱则大有区别。只有缩小中关两国之间的产业结构差异，才能有效提高中关产业内贸易水平，井逐步减少中关贸易肆捺，

By comparing Sino-US and Sino-Japan manufactural intra-industry trade(henceforth IIT) statistically from 1995 to 2009,and combining their trade conflicts situation,this paper confirmes the inverse relationship between IIT and trade conflicts.The empirical result shows that,differences in industrial structure have great influence on Sino-US and Sino-Japan manufactural IIT,which is,differences in per capita consumption,industrial scale,and economic differences have negative correlation with IIT,in contrast to FDI,but the coeffient of two models varies.Finally,we put forward some suggestions for promoting Sino-US IIT in the aspect of industrial structure to decreasing Sino-US trade conflicts.