大国转型:从制造到消费

Transition in Power Country: from Manufacture to Consumption

自上世纪80年代以来,我国制造业获得长足发展,已经成为世界制造大国。但在国际金融危机的冲击下,中国经济遭遇了前所未有的寒冬。危机传递的信息表明,传统的投资出口双驱动的增长模式难以为继,扩大内需特别是消费需求,加快制造向消费的转型,是后危机时代实现我国经济持续发展的迫切需要。为此,需要将积极的政策调整和制度变革相结合,在多个领域全方位进行发展模式转变的制度安排,构建可持续发展的体制;建立合理的收入分配体制,大幅度提高居民收入,促进消费需求持续增长;加快政府支出结构向公益性回归,大力增加政府公共服务支出,推进城乡基本公共服务均等化;打破国有资本的垄断局面,让国有资本适当从竞争性领域退出,给予民间资本更大的生存发展空间;改变城乡二元结构和城乡分治的现状,遵循市场规律,引导城市化有序进行。

Since the 80s of 20th century,China＇s manufacture industry has achieved considerable development.China has become a world manufacturing power country.However,the Chinese economy faced an unprecedented winter during the international financial crisis.The information from financial crisis shows that the traditional investment-driven export growth model is difficult to sustain development.It is urgent need to expand domestic demand,especially consumer demand,accelerate the transformation of manufacture to consumption,achieve the post-crisis era for sustained economic development.So we suggested making an active policy adjustments and institutional changes combined with a number of areas in the full model change for development of institutional arrangements.The follow strategy will be adopted： 1） build institutional mechanisms for maintaining a reasonable income distribution system and substantial increase in income for publics;2） speed up the return of the government expenditure structure to the public good so that strong increase in government expenditure on public services and promote the basic public services for the equalization of urban and rural areas;3） break the monopoly of state-owned capital so that the appropriate state capital withdrawal from the competitive areas and develop give private capital greater space for the survival and development;4） change and urban-rural dual structure of urban and rural status of the partition to follow the laws of the market and guide the orderly urbanization