云南省城乡居民收入与消费关系的协整分析

A Cointegration Analysis of the Relationship between Income and Consumption of Urban and Rural Residents in Yunnan Province

本文对1978~2008年间的云南省城乡居民收入与消费关系进行了实证分析,认为城乡居民的消费与收入间存在协整关系,并建立了误差修正模型。本文认为,云南省城乡居民消费在长期和短期均表现出对收入的较强依赖。为扩大内需,转变经济发展方式,应着力提高城乡居民尤其是农村居民的收入水平。

The author makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between income and consumption of urban and rural residents from the year 1928 to 2008.The author finds that there exists integration relationship both in the urban and rural I-C model,and establishes ECM.The result evidenced that the resident consumption relies heavily on the revenue,no matter urban or rural,in the long-run or in the short-run.Income level of all residents,especially peasant income should be improved in order to expand domestic demand.