金融发展、对外贸易与中国就业增长——基于省际面板数据的实证分析

Financial Development,Foreign Trade and Employment Growth

金融发展与对外贸易的开展对一国就业增长有着深远的影响。本文利用中国31省际面板数据(1997-2009),实证检验了金融发展、对外贸易及二者之间的交互效应对就业增长的影响。研究结果表明,仅对外贸易促进了就业增长,而金融发展及其与对外贸易的交互效应与就业增长之间呈负相关关系。最后本文提出了相关的政策建议。

Financial development and foreign trade have a profound impact on employment growth to a country.This paper examines the financial development,foreign trade and their interaction impact on employment growth using Chinese 31 provincial panel data from 1997 to 2009.The results show that only foreign trade contributing to employment growth,while financial development and its interaction with foreign trade with employment growth are negatively correlated.This paper puts forward some suggestions at last.