我国农产品外贸竞争力影响因素实证研究

Empirical Research on Influencing Factors of Trade Competitiveness of China's Agricultural Products

在对我国农产品外贸发展状况和农产品RCA指数与TSC指数分析的基础上,依据19962009年《中国统计年鉴》《中国农村统计年鉴》以及联合国粮食及农业组织数据库的数据,选择直接影响因素与间接影响因素作为参考数列,以RCA和TSC指数作为评价指标数列,利用灰色关联分析方法对我国农产品外贸竞争力的影响因素进行分析与评价。结果表明,由于各指标计算方法不同,各因素排序结果也不尽一致,但总体来说,直接因素在成本优势与价格优势转化竞争优势能力较强,对农产品外贸竞争力影响较显著,而间接因素的影响效果相对较弱。在此基础上提出了改善我国农产品外贸竞争力的建议：一是加强和完善农业支农政策;二是提高农业利用外商直接投资水平;三是深化农产品加工能力,提高农产品质量;三是创造良好的贸易环境。

Based on the analysis of the indices of RCA and TSC of agricultural products in China,according to China Statistical Yearbook,China Rural Statistical Yearbook and data from database of The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations from 1996 to 2009,We select direct influencing factors and indirect influencing factors as reference as series of numbers,regard indices of RCA and TSC as index series of numbers of evaluation,and use grey correlation analysis method to conduct analysis and evaluation on influencing factors of trade competitiveness of China’s agricultural products.The results show that due to different index calculation methods,the sequencing results of all factors are not wholly the same.But on the whole,in terms of transformation from cost advantage and price advantage into competition advantage,the ability of direct factors is strong,impacting significantly trade competitiveness of China’s agricultural products,while the influencing effect of indirect factors is relatively weak.On the basis of this,we put forward the suggestions in order to improve trade competitiveness of China’s agricultural products as follows： firstly,we should strengthen and perfect agricultural agriculture-support policy;secondly,we should promote foreign merchants’ direct investment level in agriculture;thirdly,we should deepen the processing ability of agricultural products and promote quality of agricultural products;fourthly,we should create good trade environment.