东亚地区粮食安全问题的讨论

East Asia—— Will There Be Enough Food ?

针对东亚地区人口、耕地的情况,作者对中国二十一世纪粮食生产和粮食安全提出了与莱斯特·布朗相反的结论,分析了中国粮食生产的历史状况,指出中国在二十一世纪实现粮食自给是可能的,中国政府必须采取合适的农业政策,包括对农业物质投入和对科研的支持、培育国内农产品市场、取消省级或地方政府对农产品进出本地区的限制,使农民了解国际农产品市场等,肯定了中国在二十一世纪不会进口大量粮食,不会冲击国际粮食市场。

Lester Brown's idea on East Asia food security problem called for a global attention.This paper,however, arrived at a different conclusion.Through the analysis of China's historical,present and possible future food production conditions,and the problems in other areas of East Asia,the author pointed out that it is highly possible for China to realize grain security in the 21st century and China's grain import will not threaten the world grain market, provided that China adopt appropriate policies.