美国政府反危机政策的两难困境

The Dilemma That the USA Government's Policy agains Crisis Are Meeting with

2007-2009年的大衰退迫使美国政府从新自由主义的经济政策,转向凯恩斯式反危机政策。实际上,美国回归凯恩斯,理论远早于政策。以克鲁格曼为代表的"凯恩斯经济学回归派"早在20世纪90年代就认为因世界需求不足,凯恩斯的萧条经济学将从经济分析的边缘走向中心。凯恩斯式反危机政策的明显效果是成功地遏制了美国金融体系的崩溃,从而避免了一次远比1929-1933年更为严重的大萧条,但是,它却未能促进美国经济的稳定复苏,并带来隐性的主权债务危机问题。在反危机政策处于两难困境(继续推行反危机政策会引爆主权债务危机,而放弃反危机政策则会导致经济二次探底)的情况下,美国政府很可能从经济凯恩斯主义转向军事凯恩斯主义。

The economic decline from 2007 to 2009 forced the American government turn from the new-liberalist economy policy to John Maynard Keynes' policy against crisis.In fact,the American government returns to Keynes' theory quite earlier then it does at policy.Mr.Paul R.Krugman was a representative of the Keyns' economics school and considered in 1990s that because there was lack of demand in the world,Keynes' economics of depression would go to the center of economy analysis from its edge.Keynes' policy against crisis has appearant effect in succesfully repressing the collapse of American financial system and made it be able to avoid a more serious depression than that happened in 1929-1933.However,his theory cannot promote the American economy recover steadily and has brought a recessive problem of sovereign debts.Therefore,the American government might turn from Keynes' economics to military Keynes.