不良交往与未成年人犯罪经验研究——以正向交往为参照

Empirical Research on the Correlation between Differential Association and Juvenile Delinquency

回归模型显示,交往状况对未成年人是否陷于犯罪具有相当的预测力,其在未成年人犯罪原因及防止体系中均应占据与其权重相当的位置;未成年人与朋友交往的频率不是预测犯罪的有效变量,关键在于交往的内容和交往对象的类型;不同交往理论的基本研究假设获得了数据支持,在未成年人同侪(辈)交往问题上显现出优于社会控制理论的解释力。人们判断未成年人交往性质的通常标准或指标并不准确。

The binary logistic regression model in this research reveals a lot about the correlation between differential association and juvenile delinquency.Firstly,juvenile association could give an important explanation of juvenile delinquency,which should be considered fully in the system of the cause and prevention of juvenile delinquency.Secondly,it is how juveniles associate with each other rather than how often they get together has the ability to predict juvenile delinquency.Thirdly,the basic hypothesis of differential association theory is supported by the model′s data,providing a better explanation of the correlation between attachment to associates of the same age and juvenile delinquency than the social control theory.Meanwhile,the model′s data show that people＇s common criteria applied to differential juvenile association are not accurate.