供应链风险的系统识别与评价模型研究

Study on Supply Chain Risk System Identification and Evaluation Model

对供应链风险进行了系统识别和分类,分析了供应链风险的可控性和危害性。构建了供应链风险评估指标体系,利用改进的集值统计加速迭代法确定各指标权重,建立了基于专家风险概率区间估计的供应链风险综合评价模型,并进行了实证分析。

In this paper,we systematically identify and classify supply chain risks,as well as its controllability and harmfnl influence. A supply chain risk evaluation index system is formulated for the identification and classification of supply chain risks.and then through improved set-valued statistical accelerated iteration method,the weight of each index is determined.On the hasis of expert risk probability interval estimation,a comprehensive evaluation model for supply chain risk is constructed and an empirical analysis is carried out at the last.