农户可持续生计与征地意愿分析——以江苏省苏南、苏北典型村庄农户问卷调查为例

Study on Ruralhousehold Sustainable Livelihoods and Land Expropriation Willingness:A Case on Investigation of South and North Jiangsu

本文在可持续生计框架下,通过实地调研,从农户层次上揭示农户可持续生计对征地意愿的影响。采用描述统计方法分析了人力资产、自然资产、物质资产、金融资产和社会资产对征地意愿的影响,为进一步验证其影响的性质及显著性,建立了农户征地意愿的Probit模型。描述统计分析和模型运行结果都显示,农户生计可持续性对农户影响十分明显,家庭收入、人均耕地面积、社会资本潜力水平、拥有保险情况、农户受教育程度是影响征地意愿的主导因素。因此,征地过程中若提高农民对征地制度的满意程度,就需要从根本上解决农民的可持续性生计,消弱农户的脆弱性,提高农民应对征地风险和恢复生计的能力。

The Research explain the Effects of ruralhousehold sustainable livelihoods to Expropriation Will in the rural-household level based on Peasants＇ investigation. Under the framework of farm household sustainable livelihoods,Using Statistic method analyse on effect of human asset, natural capital, substance asset, financial asset, social Capital to Land expropriation willingness.And Constructe Probit model validate connection between them. This paper argues that Fragile ruralhousehold unwilhng land expropriated, income level, farmland resource Endowment, social capital potential, Social Society System, education level are magistral factors. Therefore, weakening farm household Vulnerability and improving ability reply their Sustainable livelihood and land requisition risk in order to increase land requisition satisfaction degree.