区域降水组合预报的研究

STUDY ON AREA RAINFALL ENSEMBLE PREDICTION

在短期自忆气候模式的基础上，着重考虑了区域性降水特点，组合均生函数时序模型，构造了区域降水预报模式．计算结果表明，它能滚动制作月、季、年降水。

Based on the short rang self memorial climatic model and area rainfall characteristics, combining with generate function model area rainfall prediction model is built. This model is used to give the forecasts of the precipitation in month, season and year, and its forecast effect is totally superior to the other climatic model.