摘要
以湘潭市1991~2008年经济数据为依据,根据协整理论和VAR模型等方法,从不同角度研究了房地产投资和经济增长之间的动态关系。实证结果表明:湘潭市房地产投资与经济增长之间具有长期均衡关系,且房地产投资的增长是地区经济增长的格兰杰原因;经济增长与房地产投资之间的相互波动冲击都表现出正向响应,但地区经济增长的冲击作用相对较小。
In terms of co-integration theory and VAR model,the dynamic relations have been determined from different perspectives which quantitatively describe the effects to real estate investment and GDP of Xiangtan City based on the annual economic data of 1991-2008.Empirical results indicate that there is a long-term equilibrium relation between real estate investment and economic growth,and real estate investment is Granger causes of economic growth.The innovation of economic growth and real estate investment both show positive impulses,while GDP shows less effect.
出处
《湖南科技大学学报(社会科学版)》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第4期72-75,共4页
Journal of Hunan University of Science and Technology(Social Science Edition)
基金
湖南省教育厅(07C299)
湘潭市社科课题专项资助(潭社科研[2006]9号)
湘潭市社科课题专项资助(潭社科研[2010]1号)